Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 1.100692 1.322872 1.601933 1.987599 2.522973 3.267116 4.434874
2026-02-08 0.797471 1.044252 1.399045 1.979318 2.982745 4.845138 9.281057
2026-02-15 0.631830 0.869632 1.240591 1.918027 3.292398 6.546791 18.672150
2026-02-22 0.550324 0.789035 1.187929 1.991871 3.897754 9.828733 53.612102
2026-03-01 0.483913 0.714303 1.119072 1.998778 4.370817 13.955240 213.690538
2026-03-08 0.427367 0.643946 1.038399 1.945292 4.653849 18.530885 2243.850214
2026-03-15 0.386311 0.592908 0.981687 1.923860 5.037198 25.920229 NaN
2026-03-22 0.368462 0.579863 0.996055 2.083607 6.280320 53.114189 NaN
2026-03-29 0.347342 0.557151 0.984885 2.172329 7.415682 113.392508 NaN
2026-04-05 0.322782 0.524336 0.944964 2.162431 8.097876 226.028473 NaN
2026-04-12 0.298167 0.488431 0.891767 2.092915 8.378443 419.528892 NaN
2026-04-19 0.282541 0.468565 0.872155 2.126824 9.472199 2172.925137 NaN
2026-04-26 0.270884 0.455778 0.868103 2.218871 11.377153 NaN NaN
2026-05-03 0.255685 0.434090 0.838867 2.210290 12.495356 NaN NaN
2026-05-10 0.239522 0.408816 0.796883 2.138673 12.862967 NaN NaN
2026-05-17 0.231318 0.399580 0.794382 2.225226 15.598147 NaN NaN
2026-05-24 0.220955 0.384661 0.774679 2.233335 17.488812 NaN NaN
2026-05-31 0.209163 0.365625 0.741398 2.170627 18.091838 NaN NaN
2026-06-07 0.199661 0.350885 0.717941 2.145533 19.496903 NaN NaN
2026-06-14 0.197276 0.351700 0.737390 2.333044 27.606695 NaN NaN
2026-06-21 0.192439 0.346512 0.739127 2.437650 35.887136 NaN NaN
2026-06-28 0.185017 0.334789 0.720262 2.425964 40.314180 NaN NaN
2026-07-05 0.176497 0.319947 0.690505 2.344004 40.828093 NaN NaN